HIGHEST STRIKE PROBABILITY
| Forecast: | GA/NC (90%) | LA/AL (70%) | W.FL (90%) | LA/AL (90%) | W.FL (60%) |
| Observed: | Charley | ~ | Keith | Allison | Marco
|
| Forecast: | ~ | ~ | ~ | WFL(90%) | GA-NC(60%) |
| Observed: | ~ | ~ | ~ | ~ | ~ |
| Forecast: | ~ | ~ | ~ | ~ | LA-AL (60%) |
| Observed: | ~ | ~ | ~ | ~ | ~ |
| YEAR | 1986 | 1987 | 1988 | 1989 | 1990 |
| SECOND HIGHEST STRIKE PROBABILITY
|
| Forecast: | W.FL--(70%) | W.FL--(60%) | MEX--(70%) | TX(70%) | -------------- |
| Observed: | Charley | Floyd | Gilbert | Allison/Chantal/Jerry | ~ |
| ~ | ~ | ~ | Debby | ~ | ~ |
| Forecast: | ~ | GA-NC (60%) | E.FL (70%) | GA-NC 70% | ~ |
| Observed: | ~ | ~ | Chris | Hugo | ~ |
| NUMBER OF STORMS Forecast: | 11 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8
|
| Observed: | 6 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 14
|
| NUMBER OF HURRICANES Forecast: | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5
|
| Observed: | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8
|
| NUMBER OF HURRICANE DAYS Forecast: | 24 | 7 | 25 | 30 | 20 |
| Observed: | 12 | 6 | 26 | 40 | 34 |
| STORM STRIKES ALONG U.S. COAST Forecast: | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Observed: | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| STRONG HURRICANES (CATEGORY 3 OR HIGHER)Forecast: | 50% | 50% | 30% | 80% | 30% |
| Observed: | 0 | Emily | Gilbert | Hugo | 0 |
| ~ | ~ | Helene | Gabrielle | ~ |
Weather Research Center