Weather Research Center
ORBITAL CYCLONE STRIKE INDEX FORECASTS
YEAR2001200220032004200520062007
HIGHEST STRIKE PROBABILITY
Forecast:LA-AL(70%)W.FL (80%)NE US (70%)W.FL (70%)TX (70%)LA/AL (80%)TX(66%)
Observed:AllisonHannaIsabelBonnie Charley
Frances Ivan
Rita~Humberto
Forecast: W.FL (70%)_GA-NC (70%)_W.FL (70%)~LA/AL (66%)
Observed: Gabrielle~Isabel~Dennis
Wilma
~Humberto
Forecast:LA-AL (70%)~~~~ ~W FL (66%)
Observed:Allison~~~~~Barry
YEAR2001200220032004200520062007
SECOND HIGHEST STRIKE PROBABILITY
Forecast:GA-NC(60%) LA-AL (60%)~TX (60%) GA-NC (60%)GA/NC (66%)~
Observed:~Isidore-LiliBill-
~
IvanOpheliaAlberto
Ernesto
~
Forecast:TX___ (60%)-----
Observed:~Fay - Bertha~~~~~
NUMBER OF STORMS Forecast:9 6 7 7109>7
Observed:15121614 27107*
NUMBER OF HURRICANES Forecast:6354544
Observed:94791556
NUMBER OF HURRICANE DAYS Forecast:20152116212522
Observed:27113346515032
STORM STRIKES ALONG U.S. COAST Forecast: 3 333433
Observed:3659932*
STRONG HURRICANES (CATEGORY 3 OR HIGHER) Forecast:90% 50%30% 60% 50%67%67%
Observed: Iris
Michelle
Isidore
Lili
Fabian
Isabel
Charley
Frances
Ivan
Dennis
Emily
Katrina
Maria
Rita
Wilma
Beta
Gordon
Helene
Dean
Felix
*1 Subtropical Storm Which is not counted and 6 other questionable storms with high pressures or could have been classified as Sub Tropical
Weather Research Center
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